Great Dream as a policy …
Recently the book precisely unusual was published in publishing house “Piter” which promptly gains popularity, publishing the disputable books from time to time, but necessarily interesting. The book is unusual because it was written by the Ukrainian political scientist who has aimed to understand that is Russia today and what it can show to the world tomorrow.
Its author Roman Vasilishin is a well-known analyst in Ukraine, the head of Fund of socio-political initiatives. The reflections collected in the book, he named beyond any politeness and other political correctness. It is necessary to say that he named beautifully – “Empire”. And as only lazy person doesn't write about empire for the last years, he has explained the specificity specially: “the book is about Russia and the Russian geopolitical prospects if to look at it from Ukraine”. We have somehow got used to that they look at Russia from there not very friendly if not to say more for the last years… And here is the other sight –want to read at once!
As it turns out, Vasilishin is the patriot of the Greater Russia – many persons if don't declare, but consider themselves precisely. But all are silent somehow on public … And he has stated everything that had those in mind who indeed considers the disorder of the Soviet Union as the main geopolitical accident of our time and not those, of course, who like the well-known Minister of Foreign Affairs Kozyrev, looks only in one side – at the West. And consequently the Ukrainian analyst has decided to show us the world politics without the glamour with luster. And it turned out such: “present, not washed, dirty, bloody and majestic, such that could serve the interests of Russia and all Post-Soviet world, connected with it with brotherly bonds”.
Before arguing on geopolitical prospects of Russia, Roman Vasilishin has decided to designate its main internal problems. Firstly, the influence of a world economic crisis proceeds because of what the horizon of planning and politicians and business and even special services is narrowed. Secondly, the liberally-political class about which many write with aspiration becomes “direct threat for own nation” in the opinion of the Ukrainian political scientist. Vasilishin considers the incompetent and corrupted elite as the threat, capable to reject our country to ‘the third world”.
Thirdly, the citizens on the post-Soviet territory possess “traumatic moral and psychological condition” one and all. It is a question that “ideological and ethical bases” of the sights of “the most business and active part of a society” somehow have very quickly failed. The sight at the world has lost former influence under the influence of world crisis in the basis of which the consumer principle lies only and has come nothing new on its place yet...
All abovementioned influences a situation in the country very much. It influences on the position of Russia on international scene. Roman Vasilishin notices: “Russia tries to make any actions on the world scene all time or to tell the high words directed on returning of the status of great power to itself in the long term”. And notes at once that the words are more than actions and “the orbit of the American flight is vastly higher the Russian”.
The USA, certainly, have the world project — some analysts call it as the Global western project. And the problem essence is not in size of military or political potential of our country, but that Russia has refused the mission of the carrier of world ideology. Many most far-sighted thinkers write and speak about it today. And namely this mission the Ukrainian political scientist considers as “trump card” of Russia at all times.
Here is the citation of Vasilishin: “To a huge regret, Russia has voluntary refused the usual aspiration historically inherent to be the world power today. The Russian elite has refused the struggle for high ideals which were expressed in the wordly feats earlier, — from orthodox Russia of Sergius of Radonezh to the Red Union as terrestrial embodiment of human dream of fair life”.
As Vasilishin believes, today the revival of Russia is possible only in the event that it will show the own global project to the world which start with ideals of “fair world order”. It would be naive to think that they are waited for Russia with this project, not at all, but it means only the one thing: such project is necessary! And it is just that case, when the delay is like death! But it is not enough to give the birth to idea, it is necessary to issue it and then to transform into real doctrine where all basic things will be registered. As the author of “Empire” marks: “Advancement of the global project is more difficult management of own strategy, than simply “to lash out” at Mikhail Saakashvili in South Ossetia”. Though of what he is convinced precisely, so that all similar to Misha should be lashed out immediately, if, they, of course, are available or by other parts of these “democratic” organisms. And Vasilishin will tell us how it is necessary to spend similar procedure. And in details. Such examples, for example: here if Turkey understands what the destruction of the American aircraft carrier in passage means and that it remains without Istanbul after that, so it, probably, will think once again of how to behave in a crisis situation in which Russia can be involved…
Anyhow, but if Russia comes back, so the repartition of influence spheres in the world geopolitics is inevitable. And Roman Vasilishin analyzes the concrete scenarios of possible succession of events. Probably, many of them will seem fantastic. Though, also not such variants were already “rolled” in our “fighting” fantasy for a long time.
Now we technologically lag behind the West after reorganization and Yeltsin board – it is the common place in the opinion of any experts. But, as it won't seem paradoxical, the crisis, according to Vasilishin, has led to that “the American technologies of the digital postindustrial period have appeared unprofitable”. The conclusion is the following: if Russia can't catch up with the West yet, it can wait while that will exhaust at least.
Roman Vasilishin is convinced that Russia today is the unique from the big countries, which absolutely wins in view of “sharp and total fragmentation of the world market”. Russia receives five-ten years to start the global project in such situation. Vasilishin, certainly, trusts in success of Russia, but there is one necessary condition: it is necessary to refuse the postulates of the liberal doctrine both in sphere of ethical and legal and in ideological and economic. Any returning of liberalism for the analyst is “the center of gangrenous social disintegration”. And if the project is global, it formulates a problem in the following way: “To eradicate any sprout of “freedom and democracy” in their American understanding on each span of globe”.
It will difficult to win and at home and on world politics arena. As Roman Vasilishin supposes, the USA realizes the plan in the today's world which they name as “Anaconda”. However, such scenario simply should be acquainted to all who is interested in geopolitics: it carried out consistently all second half of XX century and in the first decade of the present century. The essence is that, as Russia, both China and India should be surrounded by pro-American regimes, that is, it is necessary to smother with rings as anaconda! For example, the Ukrainian researcher is convinced that “the ring of “Anaconda” was tightly closed on a throat of Russia, there is the establishment of pro-American regime in Iran”. And how to split this ring, that is a question.
Vasilishin offers his scenario: Russia restores the control over the post-Soviet territory and acts accurately together with Ukraine. Thus our country refuses the participation in various international courts, while the arrest warrant of Mikhail Saakashvili won't be written out yet, stops the participation in “prosecution of the Serbian politicians under the pretext of military criminals” and gives them a political asylum, refuses the sanctions concerning Iran, leaves all arrangements with NATO, blocks any transit of cargoes to Afghanistan and Iraq...
And then “hornet’s swarm” appears —there are resistance centers to the American (western) presence worldwide. Russia declares that it won't observe the regime of non-distribution of portable surface-to-air missile systems in modern conditions and sells all of them to the interested persons. Vasilishin names the concrete addresses: Ukraine, Belarus, Venezuela, Iran, Cuba, Libya, Myanmar, Nicaragua, Syria, Sudan, the North Korea. The list, in general, turns out rather big …
But what it should turn out from all this? The Ukrainian political scientist considers that the USA will lose possibility to carry out military pressure upon the countries in such situation, who do not wish to follow their liberal doctrine. And further begins that we already passed in the Soviet period. Vasilishin writes that Russia should start to support worldwide again “the national and liberation movements professing the ideology of a fair society”: from Marxist to the nationalist. The Taliban, Sunni guerrillas in Iraq, HAMAS and Hizballah, Kurdish formations and even the Colombian insurgents were mentioned in the list of Vasilishin. Together they represent “the world guerrilla army of justice”.
Here is such strategy which Roman Vasilishin offers for our country and in his opinion, it combines simultaneously the game in chess, “Chapaev” and boxing! Directly as Vysotsky said: “Or a knight's move … on a head”... But the victory should become a result. And here Vasilishin, perhaps, will contend with our fantasts seriously – he has thought over many things. For example, he has stated the scenarios of a possible confrontation of Russia with Ukraine in details. He separately reflects on how the Black Sea fleet will act, how the Russian commandoes will take place, how far the tank columns will go … They will pass actually not far– the fighting machines will be thrown with flowers and the Russian military men will be treated in their joy that the rates of approach soon absolutely will fall. But it isn't terrible – the volunteers from East Ukraine will get rid fast of “orange” to known address…
Vasilishin describes also the new Georgian revolution in details which will dethrone Saakashvili's regime – as he said it will finish that Russia has left unfinished on different circumstances during the transient war which have buried the dreams of Saakashvili. He hardly has choked with a tie then because of the big feelings if you remember…
And the scenario of grandiose defeat of the American armies in Afghanistan and Iraq is still registered... And still drug attack to the USA from Colombia. And there is a lot of any miscellaneous, not less fantastic, but who knows, how it will turn back?!
And if to read “Empire” of Roman Vasilishin attentively, so eventually it is necessary to ask a question. The most important question: what for all this? And the Ukrainian analyst knows what he should answer, differently all the stated is no more than the game “war” for them. Here is this answer: “The grief of our generation is that the hope of participation in historical fulfillments or achievements leaves us... Nobody dreams of ideals and feats. The sensation of justice of life has left. Sincerity and trust have disappeared from human relations. It is impossible to fill and replace all neither rich accumulation, nor “bourgeois values”, neither perversions, nor consumer possession, nor cynicism” as the Brussels troubadours suggest us to make.
It would be desirable to return “general sensation of peace continence”, but it is necessary to understand that only the people “whose hearts continue to burn, not allowing to die the fire of Great dream away” can do it. Roman Vasilishin is assured that there are a lot of such people. And what will be with their Great dream? Let's look in ten years …
Viewed : 3411 Commented: 3
Author: Владимир Кузменкин
Publication date : 19 December 2011 01:00
Source: The world and we
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