Kazbek Beysebayev: "All this is not so simple!"

The article of the Doctor of Economics, the member of the International Academy of Informatization Rustamjon Abdullaev made the noise in Central Asia who declared that Uzbekistan has the full right to apply for the territories which are a part of other Central Asian republics.

Here are only some of his statements:

About an essence:

- Not only the USSR has the right to be the assignee, but also all Uzbek states, first of which the Russian historians mistakenly called and call as the Golden Horde, but carrying the name Uzbekistan, to the territory which also the part of the territory of the Soviet Union belonged in those days.

About the Caspian Sea:

- To construct the own coastal constructions and also cargo and passenger sea terminals there.

About Kyrgyzstan:

- The right to make a territorial claim for all territory of this republic — as the assignee of the Kokand khanate.

The assessment to this «initiative» was given by our expert: the diplomat in the recent past and one of the most popular and competent bloggers of Kazakhstan today — Kazbek Beysebayev:

- The article of the Uzbek scientist Rustamjon Abdullaev was in the centre of attention of mass media where he claimed that Uzbekistan, as the assignee of the Golden Horde, has to make a territorial complaint to some republics of the former USSR. The author, referring to the last year’s Istanbul statement of the president Nursultan Nazarbayev for association of all Turkic peoples, considers that Kazakhstan has to return to Uzbekistan the territories entering the Kokand khanate and also to provide an exit to the Caspian Sea. Further Abdullaev writes that in case of refusal «the Uzbek party will have a full and reasonable authority to take this territory under the control … with all that conclusions of military-political and economic character …».

The Kazakh political scientist Daniyar Ashimbayev gave the asymmetric answer, having declared that it is expedient to consider a question of potential inclusion of Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan in structure of Kazakhstan as the autonomy. The Kazakh-Uzbek skirmish which has arisen in the Internet, without having managed to be developed, ended. Abdullaev’s article disappeared from a portal 12news. uz., where it was published. After negative reaction from the states which have entered the list of R. Abdullaev, one known Uzbek site doubted adequacy of the author. And it would be possible to put the end to it … But, alas, it is impossible.

Firstly, the article continues «to hang» on R. Abdullaev’s own site «Fundamental economy». Secondly, the portal 12news. uz., which published the first it as it was written there, «shows socio-political, economic, cultural, sports life of Uzbekistan». The analysis of publications of this resource shows that it is similar to the Kazakhstan similar portals which also shows socio-political, economic, cultural, sports life in Kazakhstan. Thirdly, the open secret — the work of such portals is under construction strictly in line with a state policy and resonant materials aren’t published without coordination with whom it is necessary.

According to the biography, Rustamjon Abdullaev specializes concerning macroeconomic of the Central Asian region. In 1994 he defended the doctoral thesis in St. Petersburg University of Economics and Finance on a subject: «World experience of macroeconomic regulation and its use by Central Asian CIS countries in the conditions of transition to the market». Here is the list of his some works: «Uzbekistan: calls, threats, problems and decisions», «Russia has the great future», «Vladimir Putin: the leader who has made Russia great for 8 years», «Information war of offended against Uzbekistan», «Why the Uzbek opposition is afraid of Islam Karimov’s daughters», «Islam Karimov is the founder of the Uzbek state», «Uzbeks are the noblemen of the Turkic people and Sarthe are the businessmen of Central Asia», «The Russian republic and the Eurasian Union under the name of Uzbekistan», etc. Judging by names of articles, Abdullaev’s position not strongly disperses from policy of official Tashkent.

Abdullaev not casually referred to the Kokand khanate. The Kokand khanate was formed in 1709 and existed till 1876. Its territory included the modern Almaty, Zhambylsky, Kyzylordinsky and Southern Kazakhstan areas of Kazakhstan. It should be noted also that the protege of Kokand Yaqub-Bek who headed the armed fight in Kashgaria against the Chinese domination later was the governor of Aq Mescit (today Kyzylorda) before fortress capture by the Russian forwarding armies during 1851 — 1853. After final conquest of Central Asia by Russia the Kokand khanate completely was a part of the Turkestani general governorship. After October revolution from December, 1917 to February, 1918 Moustapha Shokay and Mukhamedjan Tynyshbayev proclaimed the Turkestani autonomy in the territory of the Kokand khanate. But also it was crushed by Bolsheviks.

If to simplify the correspondence polemic between R. Abdullaev and D. Ashimbayev, in fact, they speak about Turkic confederation. Only dispute is about one question: whom to join? At first sight, there can be strong in every respect Turkic state with association of Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan on the map. But it is followed by other important question: who will be the main in this formation: Kazakhs or Uzbeks? The answer is obvious: it will be difficult for Kazakhstan to compete with 17 million inhabitants to 30 million inhabitants of Uzbekistan.

According to statistical data, 450 thousand Uzbek citizens constantly lives and 500 thousand more work as labor migrants in the Republic of Kazakhstan, i. e. nearly one million Uzbeks already now is in the territory of Kazakhstan. Taking into account a passionarity and natural diligence of our southern neighbors, it will be possible to present what results would be in case of hypothetical association. In this regard the silence of supporters of Turkic integration in Kazakhstan looks strange who ignored an initiative from Uzbekistan.

It should be noted also that R. Abdullaev’s initiative, as well as D. Ashimbayev’s counter proposal, caused the corresponding negative reaction in other states of Central Asia. In this regard, it will be pertinent to quote other Kazakh political scientist Sanjar Bokayev who considers that this statement of the Uzbek scientist is «an example of how the third forces sow the distemper and launch the war in Central Asia where Rustamjon Abdullaev acts as the agent of a detonator».
Probably, the third forces can be behind Abdullaev. But it happens that there are also official bodies behind such statements. Usually the people are selected for such role who formally aren’t affiliated with ruling circles. Once Yury Luzhkov, who was repeatedly declaring in the Crimea his Russian accessory was engaged in it in Russia. Still such problem of the Kremlin, to sound that it isn’t impossible to tell at the state level, is carried out by Vladimir Zhirinovsky.

Therefore it is quite admissible that territorial claims from R. Abdullaev’s lips are only the attempt of Tashkent to start a feeler and to probe reaction of neighboring states to which it has serious territorial claims. Stay in the list of Russia (the Siberian rivers belonged to the Uzbek khanates), Ukraine (The Crimea belonged to the Uzbek khanates too) and Armenia (the Armenian party «Dashnaktsutyun» participated in destruction of the Turkestani autonomy), most likely, is explained by need of creation a distracting background from the main claims to Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan and Turkmenistan. It is also possible that against amplifying hearings about the fight for a throne in Uzbekistan, the desire of certain Uzbek circles to use the national card for achievement of the purposes is behind this statement.

Anyway, these, let the personal statements which are actually calling for annexation of adjacent territories, don’t become simply. Especially, when Uzbekistan mass media, including electronic, in comparison with us, are under rigid control.
Generally, there is something to think about…