Kyrgyzstan: how much do the national interests cost? In dollars, certainly …

Manas is the national hero of the Kirghiz people. It is loved and respected in the country; they are going even to enter a special subject at schools – “manas history”. And there is also “Manas” and the quotes in this case gain the huge value. It is enough to say that they can bring the legendary hero, so dear here, the big war on the earth. The matter is, naturally, about the American airbase.

The airbase was used since December, 2001. Exactly from here the army of the USA conveys the staff and cargoes of military and civil appointment to Afghanistan. The base capacity is about two thousand military personnel per day. Now the military transport planes S-17 and also the aerial tankers KS-135 are based here. The center of transit transportations “Manas” is in the “Manas” airport near the republic capital, the city of Bishkek. The rent for the use of base makes tens millions dollars and frankly speaking, the purpose of the management of Kyrgyzstan is to earn even more.

The Deputy Secretary of State of the USA for the Southern and Central Asia Robert Blake just visited Kyrgyzstan. He said beautiful words that it is necessary to strengthen together the safety in Central Asia to prevent the growth of drug traffic and distribution of the international terrorism. And not casually at the same time there were “news leaks” in the number of the American mass media: it was reported, referring to anonymous high-ranking representatives of the Pentagon and the department headed by Hillary Clinton, that at the same time the USA reflects over the offer on increase of the sum of payment for “Manas's” rent.

What is the rent, will notice not the expert, but any person who simply is interested in a situation in this region? After all, the term of rent comes to an end in 2014 and further the base will be simply liquidated! And not somebody told about that, but the president of the country Almazbek Atambayev. But it is necessary to doubt. The people, knowing the particulars of the Kirghiz policy, are convinced that nobody seriously was going to liquidate the American base. The task, I will repeat, was absolutely in other: to achieve the increase in payments.

And how to prove – something will be thought up! As there was the precedent: once the USA already agreed on substantial increase of the rent size. And all promises remained the promises … They also were given not on paper which, as we know, everything will endure.

Almazbek Atambayev publicly declared that the center for transportation of civil cargoes without a military component should be created at the Manas airport. The same thought he reported to mister Blake, as “Kyrgyzstan is interested in long-term, partner and friendship with the USA”.

And here absolutely the latest news: the secretary of Council of Defence of the Republic of Kyrgyzstan Busurmankul Tabaldiyev has noted after the negotiations with the head of the entral command of the USA James Mattis that the relations between two countries develop dynamically. He expressed the gratitude of the USA for the help in a program framework on fight against the terrorism and counteractions to drug traffic. And further the graceful diplomatic passage follows, the secret sense of which is quite obvious: “Kyrgyzstan is interested in safety and stability in this country and is ready to participate comprehensively in efforts of the world community in rendering of assistance to Afghanistan. The Kirghiz party expressed readiness to assist the government of the USA and further, after 2014, but taking into account the interests of the country, opinion of the people and safety of Kyrgyzstan”.

So, “Manas” is very necessary to the USA and what about Kyrgyzstan? It is written and told much about “Manas” base for the years of its existence. But all the same from time to time there are new and very unexpected plots. Now, for example, before a withdrawal of coalition troops from Afghanistan approaching in 2014, it is discussed such subject: what way will take out the captive Talibs? It isn't discussed that it will be; such already happened. Let's remember at least the story with the CIA secret prisons in Eastern Europe which struck such democratic Europeans. It became clear that at once in several countries Poland, Romania, Lithuania, and, probably, somewhere else, the captured persons, taken out of Afghanistan, were contained in them.

In 2009, ABC News reported that CIA contained eight terrorists in Lithuania - later the parliamentary committee on questions of defence and safety of the Seim established that it is the truth: there was the prison and the planes rented by CIA, landed in the territory of Lithuania.

Captive Talibs put to sleep before sending on base in Guantanamo. But here that is interesting: S-141 delivered the captives to Cuba. But where from? It is very curious question and it is not the secret that the captives were taken out from the territory of Afghanistan on … S-17! That is, there is an intermediate point somewhere! It is big secret where is it but if to compare everything that is told by experts from the different countries, so it turned out that the most suitable place is the airbase “Manas”!

Serious observers don't doubt that the present regime in Afghanistan long won't hold for a long time without the American bayonets; the issue is only in terms. And those Talibs will come to the power inevitably. And then the Republic of Kirgizstan will have a serious problem in the relations with Afghanistan! Does someone think over about it today? I doubt. As somebody didn't think that the emergence of the American base on the Kirghiz land is capable to do the direct harm to this land!

In October of last year, to great disgust of some high-ranking officials from the top echelons of power, the data became property of publicity on huge harm which the existence of Manas base puts to republic ecology.

Karypbek Serenov is the head of non-governmental organization “Asyr” which takes up the problems of ecology, publicly declared that the American planes dump the fuel before landing therefore the cattle perishes and crops vanish, trees dry up and areas rare medicinal herbs disappear in mountains. He says: “The center of transit transportations, which is based at the international airport Manas, is necessary to deduce from the country. The American planes did enormous harm to local ecology”.

It became known that the inhabitants of one village decided to count up the volume of the damage put to them and came to a conclusion that the American base did them harm of more than 300 thousand dollars. Karypbek Serenov notes with bitterness: “The citizens of Chuysky region wrote the letter to the Embassy of the USA in Kyrgyzstan with the requirement to pay the counted-up damage, however the diplomatic mission only noted that the expert group which will estimate a district condition will be sent. But also we wait for it to this day. We demand that the work of base was stopped, also we demand the compensation of the damage”.

In turn, the cochairman of party “Youth movement on April 7” Mirlan Bekitayev officially declared that “the center of transit transportations caused a huge ecological damage to the republic for the years of its existence. It should pay to Chuysky region at least billion dollars as the compensation of the damage for the put ecological harm”.

The indignation was big, but nevertheless the ecological risk doesn't come within miles of political risk. The word “war” always frightens, but everyone thinks that it precisely doesn't concern him, it is somewhere, very far … But suddenly it appeared that having placed the American airbase or the center in its territory (the name doesn't change an essence in this case), Kyrgyzstan got not a headache together with million dollars for its rent, but quite real possibility to appear involved in war. Such war where “small” are beaten too … And nobody knows what it can end. To tell more precisely, knows, but afraid to speak!

What would suddenly the present president of the republic Almazbek Atambayev began to emphasize on public: “We want that the “Manas” airport became the supercivil airport. And to hold the military base even for $150 million is dangerous a little bit, not a little bit, but very dangerous”. And further explained that he wouldn't like, that any country could strike blow to the Manas base as a result of which not only the Americans would suffer...

But let's reject the diplomacy and will ask a simple question: and who is capable to strike blow to the American military men who consider the armed forces as the most powerful in the world? Who is able to do it not in words, but in practice? The answer is quite obvious –only the Islamic republic Iran can make it. And not because there are the bloody maniacs in power, who are thirsting to destroy America, but because the USA is ready to strike blow on Iran to stop its nuclear program.

The USA has the mass of technical possibilities to strike blow on Iran, and whether can it answer? As it appears, it can! And just this hypothetical Iranian answer should excite the heads of Kyrgyzstan. And how not to worry, if “Shahab-3”, the Iranian ballistic missile of average range striking the purposes at distance of 1500 km., doesn't fall anywhere unlike the North Korean rockets. It is on arms since 1999 and well recommended itself.

Besides, Iran got the new solid propellant rocket of average range “Sejil-2”. In May, 2009, the tests passed. The doctrines “the Great Prophet — IV” showed that the new rocket added 1000 kilometers more! What does this mean? That the Iranian rockets will reach Bishkek precisely. And still one more question: what kind will they have the warheads?!

And, maybe, it is not necessary to panic and it is not more than the naughty imagination? By no means! Also the person understanding a problem will confirm it as no one else.

The Committee chairman of Zhogorku Kenesh on defence and safety (Ar-Namys fraction) the lieutenant general Tokon Mamytov has more than a solid record of service: the deputy minister of the Ministry of National Security, the head of department of the Ministry of Defence, first deputy chairman of Service of National security, secretary of Security Council, chairman of the Border service of the Republic of Kyrgyzstan...

Answering a direct question, he also accurately answered in a military way: “There is a threat. And it is not only the statement of Kyrgyzstan military experts. There is a conclusion of the Russian and also leading experts from the USA and Central Asia. The matter is that in the autumn of last year, the armed forces of Iran tested the new rockets “Shahab-2”, “Shahab-3”. Besides, the powerful Sejil rocket is developed. The range of its flight exceeds 2 thousand kilometers. In a word, the rocket, let out from the territory of Iran, quite can hit the target in any state of Central Asia”.

One more detail. In 2007, the discussion about the existence of the American nuclear weapon on the basis flared up. Eventually the ambassador of the United States in Bishkek Mary Yovanovich was compelled to declare that the nuclear weapon isn't stored on airbase “Manas” for war with Iran. Iran can believe … but can’t believe!

That is, Iran is capable to strike blow to the Manas base that is on the territory of the Republic of Kyrgyzstan. You'll wish it had never happened to “big Satan” … But here is the surprise, the Islamic Republic of Iran has questions directly to the Republic of Kyrgyzstan …

Now it not so like to remember, but in 2010 there was very serious incident in the Iranian-Kirghiz relations, the consequences of which will affect still for a long time. Then “Boeing-737” which was carrying out the flight from Dubai to Bishkek compulsorily landed at the airport in the territory of Iran. Only because of one passenger!

Somebody Abdulmalik Rigi appeared the leader of the terrorist organization “Jundallah” who is for separation the territory, occupied by the Beluchis from Iran, who as we know, like the Kurds, have no statehood and fight for that it appeared. After that incident, it was reported in Iran that the Americans create the camp for preparation of fighters-Beluchis not somewhere, but on the Manas base! The matter wasn't limited with conversations – it was declared to the ambassador of the Republic of Kyrgyzstan in Iran: “Iran won't suffer the use of the territory of Kyrgyzstan as the base, where the threat of national security of the Islamic Republic proceeds”. So that is!

And, by the way, the matter is not only in the Iranian rockets of which the Americans so like to frighten the world. Some Kirghiz experts consider that the action of terrorists can represent the bigger danger for the republic. They quite capable to arrange a series of large-scale acts of terrorism in Bishkek! Is it the fairy tales? Not at all. Very few people in India believed that such large-scale and terrible acts of terrorism would be in Mumbai (the former Bombay). And the terrorists can get on the territory of Kyrgyzstan quite through Tajikistan …

Here is the competent opinion who asked not to call his name: “Future succession of events, especially in connection with possible war in Iran, bears serious threats to Kyrgyzstan. The American base becomes not guarantee of safety, but, on the contrary, a threat source. It is known that the radical Islamists attack any American objects and “Manas” can become the purpose of attacks. Probably, the acts of terrorism will be directed against the citizens of Kyrgyzstan to compel the country leaders to refuse cooperation with the USA”.

The choice of the leaders of the Republic of Kyrgyzstan is simple: to get the desired dollars, subjecting the republic capital to huge danger or to make a choice for national strategic interests. The game which is setting to beat out as much as possible money as the purpose can come to a bad end. And then the revolutions which the country endured already twice will seem the flowers. The most forward-looking Kirghiz policies sound alarm already today, but will the president hear their voice?