Saudi Arabia is expecting a big war

##

The self-confidence and bravado of Riyadh sometimes exceeds all boundaries. It often seems that Saidov sheikhs and princes, whose recent ancestors saw nothing in life but the desert and rare oases, imagined themselves the arbiters of the world's fate.

Saudi Arabia has decided to banish all competitors from the oil markets. To do this, Riyadh brought down oil prices and significantly increased oil exports in may 2020. It will bring production to 12.3 million barrels of raw materials per day.

According to the International energy Agency (IEA), which is cited by Bloomberg, Saudi Arabia itself consumes only 3.15 million barrels per day. Thus, the Kingdom will be able to export about 9.15 million barrels per day in April. Until December 2019 and the collapse of the OPEC agreement, Saudi Arabia's exports were about 7 million barrels per day.

On March 6, Russia and Saudi Arabia withdrew from the OPEC+ agreement to reduce oil production. The so-called "price war" began, which led to the largest collapse in oil prices.
The purpose of all these actions by Riyadh is to put pressure on Russia and oust Moscow from the oil products market.

The most interesting thing is that the Kingdom even plans to put itself on a hungry oil ration and is ready to reduce domestic oil consumption for the sake of victory. And natural gas should take the place of oil.

But something tells me that Moscow will not give up. It seems that the Saudis imagined themselves grandmasters of international politics, and decided that everything is possible for them. Or almost everything.

But this is far from the case. The Kremlin has many ways to force Riyadh to back down. And there is no doubt that if Saudi Arabia does not calm down itself, Putin will find ways to force it to do so.

The middle East has always been a real powder keg. And in the twenty-first century, the situation has not changed at all. Riyadh has always supported Chechen separatists, providing them with mercenaries and money. After that, he also began to support Islamic terrorists around the world, but mainly in Russia. Sooner or later Moscow's patience with the wave can and should burst.

But according to Putin's methodology, Russia will not be in any situation to blame.

I think that Yemen's combat capabilities will increase dramatically in its confrontation with Saudi Arabia.

The Saudis have never shone with courage, military prowess and military talents, and prefer to simply leave the battlefield at the first danger in an effort to save their lives in any way.

Their armed forces are mostly armed with American and other Western weapons. And the military adheres to the doctrine of so-called "remote actions", when the air force, guided aerial bombs and missiles can destroy civilians with impunity and only occasionally the enemy's military.

For five years, since the end of March 2015, an Arab coalition of 10 countries led by Riyadh has been waging an unsuccessful war with Yemen. Despite the seemingly gigantic superiority in everything, the Saudis and their allies are constantly suffering the most shameful defeats in the fighting against the Houthis, supported by Iran, as it was in October 2019.

The last time the Saudis suffered a crushing defeat in mid-March 2020, that is, immediately after the start of the "oil war" with Russia. It seems that this event was not accidental at all.

The sixth military district of Riyadh was defeated. Hundreds of Saudi soldiers surrendered. And on March 27, the air defense of Yemen thwarted the penetration of Saudi military aircraft into the province of Marib.

Over the years of throwing their huge money into the fire of Islamic terrorism, Saudi princes have made a lot of enemies in the middle East. First of all, this is, of course, Syria and Iraq. But even the allies of Riyadh in its war with the Houthis are not burning with sympathy for the Saudis, since the latter have repeatedly been noted for brazen interference in their internal Affairs, as happened in Egypt, Morocco and other countries of the African continent.

There is no doubt that both Damascus and Baghdad, especially with the support of Tehran, which is also suffering huge losses due to sanctions and lack of opportunities to sell its oil, will be very enthusiastic to help Sana'a in any way they can. Military advisers, weapons, money. And they are already doing it.

Given the vast combat experience that the military of these countries has acquired, Riyadh can expect huge shocks.

After all, it is possible to force it to reduce or even stop oil production and sale not with the help of negotiations within OPEC, but with the power of aggravating the military and political situation in this region. You can trust me that the Saudi disaster will be received with delight by many on the African continent.

And Washington doesn't like low oil prices either, because they have led to the collapse of the shale oil industry.

Even Beijing, which is increasing its presence in Africa year by year and largely feeds on Saudi oil, will not be nervous, because the Saudis are already tired of their whims and unpredictability.

Moreover, after the military of Saudi Arabia, China in its own way will be able to get its hands on a significant part of the Saudi oil fields.

Again, Moscow will not directly interfere in this conflict. Putin will watch from the top of the mountain as the artificially created Saudi Kingdom dies at its foot in a battle with rivals.